Monthly electoral map of August 2020 by Benjamin Wolfmeier

/ benjaminstrehl

I moved Alaska from solid Trump to strong Trump
I moved Florida from solid Trump to lean Trump
I moved Indiana from strong Trump to safe Trump
I moved Kentucky from strong Trump to safe Trump
I moved ME-01 from solid Biden to safe Biden
I moved Michigan from lean Biden to solid Biden
I moved Mississippi from strong Trump to safe Trump
I moved North Carolina from lean Trump to solid Trump
I moved NE-3 from strong Trump to safe Trump
I moved New Hampshire from lean Biden to lean Trump
I moved New Jersey from solid Biden to safe Biden
I moved Rhode Island from solid Biden to safe Biden
I moved Tennessee from strong Trump to safe Trump
I moved Texas from solid Trump to strong Trump
I moved Wisconsin from lean Trump to lean Biden

Trump vs. Biden

AK(03): 54.5% 41.3% Biden
AL(09): 64.0% 34.2% Biden
AR(06): 62.0% 36.0% Biden
AZ(11): 49.5% 48.3% Biden

CA(55): 35.5% 58.0% Biden
CO(09): 43.7% 52.9% Biden
CT(07): 40.6% 51.9% Biden
DC(03): 10.0% 90.0% Biden
DE(03): 41.0% 56.0% Biden

FL(29): 48.3% 46.8% Biden
GA(16): 50.3% 45.1% Biden
HI(04): 33.5% 62.5% Biden

IA(06): 50.1% 45.0% Biden
ID(04): 61.0% 30.5% Biden
IL(20): 39.0% 49.0% Biden
IN(11): 58.2% 36.7% Biden


KS(06): 57.8% 39.8% Biden
KY(08): 61.0% 34.6% Biden
LA(08): 60.9% 36.1% Biden


MA(11): 33.9% 59.6% Biden
MD(10): 37.9% 60.0% Biden
ME(04): 46.3% 50.1% Biden    ME-01: 43.2/53.5    ME-02: 50.5/43.5
MI(16): 45.2% 50.3% Biden
MN(10): 47.0% 47.1% Biden
MO(10): 56.7% 41.2% Biden
MS(06): 60.0% 37.7% Biden
MT(03): 55.8% 42.8% Biden


NC(15): 51.4% 45.8% Biden
ND(03): 64.9% 33.3% Biden
NE(05): 58.5% 33.0% Biden
NH(04) 46.7% 45.9% Biden
NJ(14): 42.5% 52.8% Biden
NM(05): 45.4% 52.5% Biden
NV(06): 44.1% 47.9% Biden
NY(29): 38.6% 58.2% Biden


OH(18): 52.6% 44.1% Biden
OK(07): 58.8% 36.7% Biden
OR(07): 36.5% 51.0% Biden

PA(20): 49.2% 48.9% Biden
RI(04): 34.5% 56.0% Biden
SC(09): 56.6% 39.7% Biden
SD(03): 64.3% 29.0% Biden

TN(11): 61.9% 34.8% Biden
TX(38): 54.2% 41.2% Biden
UT(06): 55.0% 35.3% Biden
VA(13): 45.8% 49.6% Biden
VT(03): 33.8% 56.5% Biden

WA(12): 36.5% 58.1% Biden
WI(10): 47.7% 47.9% Biden
WV(05): 69.5% 29.0% Biden
WY(03): 63.5% 27.5% Biden

BidenTrumpmap

President Donald Trump vs former VP Joe Biden: 284/254

8 thoughts on “Monthly electoral map of August 2020 by Benjamin Wolfmeier”

  1. So you’re basically just ignoring the polls and going with your gut?

    Lol I guess this is what I get for clicking on a random tweet.

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    Reply

      • Not a bad effort for summer. I think you’re going to see movement as the real battle commences after Labor Day and the Bull Durham action shows headway.
        I have my concerns about Wisconsin but I don’t think Michigan is out of the picture for President Trump and won’t rule out Minnesota either.

        My November tally prediction is President Trump with over 320 electoral votes.

        Thanks for this interesting work.

        Liked by 1 person

  3. Why only two parties? I would like to see where the Libertarian Party ranks, however low that might be. I think we need to start shifting our thinking that there are more than two voices out there.

    Liked by 1 person

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