Democrats will hold the House 221/214 but President Trump will win the PV this time 49/48 the electorate will be slightly more white and a little bit more male as in 2016! President Trump will win 15% of the african-american votes and 40% of the hispanic vote! President Trump will win the Independents in all swing-states ( AZ FL MI MN NC NH NV PA WI)
Trump vs. Biden (my polls vs. public poll vs. my prediction)
AK(03): 55.7% 41.4% Biden
Average of public polls: 46.5/42.0
My prediction: 56.2/41.8
AL(09): 62.0% 37.0% Biden
Average of public polls: 57.5/38.0
My prediction: 62.0/36.0
AR(06): 61.0% 34.7% Biden
Average of public polls: 56.7/37.0
My prediction: 62.1/35.9
AZ(11): 48.7% 45.3% Biden
Average of public polls: 46.8/47.7
My prediction: 50.5/47.5
CA(55): 36.6% 60.2% Biden
Average of public polls: 30.5/61.5
My prediction: 37.1/60.9
CO(09): 44.2% 52.3% Biden
Average of public polls: 39.0/48.5
My prediction: 44.9/53.1
CT(07): 41.8% 52.4% Biden
Average of public polls: 46.5/51.8
My prediction: 43.6/54.4
DC(03): 09.0% 89.5% Biden
DE(03): 44.1% 52.9% Biden
Average of public polls: 36.7/56.0
My prediction: 44.5/53.5
FL(29): 50.2% 45.9% Biden
Average of public polls: 46.7/48.1
My prediction: 50.1/47.9
GA(16): 50.2% 45.3% Biden
Average of public polls: 47.8/47.6
My prediction: 51.5/46.5
HI(04): 40.2% 55.9% Biden
Average of public polls: 28.0/61.0
My prediction: 41.2/56.8
IA(06): 49.3% 42.9% Biden
Average of public polls: 47.2/45.8
My prediction: 52.8/45.2
ID(04): 59.1% 36.3% Biden
Average of public polls: 60.6/37.0
My prediction: 60.5/37.5
IL(20): 42.0% 50.8% Biden
Average of public polls: 39.0/55.9
My prediction: 44.8/53.2
IN(11): 56.6% 39.4% Biden
Average of public polls: 49.0/42.0
My prediction: 57.7/40.3
KS(06): 56.7% 39.5% Biden
Average of public polls: 48.0/41.0
My prediction: 57.8/40.2
KY(08): 62.8% 35.3% Biden
Average of public polls: 56.0/39.0
My prediction: 62.8/35.2
LA(08): 58.0% 37.1% Biden
Average of public polls: 55.7/36.7
My prediction: 59.6/38.4
MA(11): 33.5% 62.3% Biden
Average of public polls: 30.0/68.0
My prediction: 34.5/63.5
MD(10): 37.8% 59.7% Biden
Average of public polls: 31.0/60.3
My prediction: 37.9/60.1
ME(04): 46.2% 48.7% Biden
Average of public polls: 40.5/52.5
My prediction: 48.8/50.1
ME-01: 40.3% 54.8% Biden
Average of public polls: 36.5/56.0
My prediction: 41.8/56.2
ME-02: 53.2% 41.9% Biden
Average of public polls: 48.5/46.0
My prediction: 54.5/43.5
MI(16): 48.4% 46.0% Biden
Average of public polls: 44.7/49.8
My prediction: 50.3/47.8
MN(10): 47.0% 45.8% Biden
Average of public polls: 43.7/48.0
My prediction: 49.4/48.6
MO(10): 55.3% 44.0% Biden
Average of public polls: 50.5/45.0
My prediction: 55.7/42.3
MS(06): 57.8% 39.6% Biden
Average of public polls: 56.0/41.0
My prediction: 58.1/39.9
MT(03): 56.3% 42.1% Biden
Average of public polls: 51.0/44.2
My prediction: 57.6/42.4
NC(15): 49.9% 46.2% Biden
Average of public polls: 47.9/47.4
My prediction: 50.9/47.1
ND(03): 66.0% 29.2% Biden
Average of public polls: 56.2/38.9
My prediction: 67.2/30.8
NE(05): 60.2% 29.5% Biden
Average of public polls: 56.0/43.0
My prediction: 63.9/34.1
NH(04) 46.6% 45.5% Biden
Average of public polls: 42.8/52.5
My prediction: 49.9/48.1
NJ(14): 42.2% 54.3% Biden
Average of public polls: 36.5/58.5
My prediction: 42.9/55.1
NM(05): 45.0% 51.8% Biden
Average of public polls: 42.0/54.0
My prediction: 45.6/52.4
NV(06): 47.9% 48.3% Biden
Average of public polls: 45.0/48.6
My prediction: 48.6/49.4
NY(29): 38.0% 59.9% Biden
Average of public polls: 29.0/61.0
My prediction: 38.0/60.0
OH(18): 53.5% 44.0% Biden
Average of public polls: 47.4/46.0
My prediction: 54.0/44.0
OK(07): 61.5% 36.9% Biden
Average of public polls: 59.5/36.0
My prediction: 61.5/36.9
OR(07): 43.7% 49.5% Biden
Average of public polls: 39.0/51.0
My prediction: 45.2/52.8
PA(20): 49.9% 47.1% Biden
Average of public polls: 46.3/49.2
My prediction: 50.2/47.8
RI(04): 38.9% 53.5% Biden
Average of public polls: 34.0/65.0
My prediction: 41.4/56.6
SC(09): 60.2% 38.0% Biden
Average of public polls: 50.0/42.5
My prediction: 60.0/38.0
SD(03): 64.3% 29.0% Biden
Average of public polls: 51.0/40.0
My prediction: 66.2/31.8
TN(11): 61.9% 34.8% Biden
Average of public polls: 53.0/42.0
My prediction: 62.5/35.5
TX(38): 52.3% 42.3% Biden
Average of public polls: 47.7/46.5
My prediction: 54.5/43.5
UT(06): 56.6% 36.0% Biden
Average of public polls: 50.5/41.0
My prediction: 59.1/38.9
VA(13): 45.6% 50.6% Biden
Average of public polls: 40.8/52.2
My prediction: 47.8/50.3
VT(03): 33.0% 56.2% Biden
Average of public polls: 32.0/56.0
My prediction: 36.7/61.3
WA(12): 39.2% 56.0% Biden
Average of public polls: 34.0/55.0
My prediction: 40.5/57.5
WI(10): 48.8% 47.7% Biden
Average of public polls: 44.1/50.7
My prediction: 49.6/48.4
WV(05): 69.5% 29.0% Biden
Average of public polls: 55.5/38.5
My prediction: 69.5/28.5
WY(03): 66.4% 29.2% Biden
Average of public polls: 66.0/33.0
My prediction: 67.5/30.5
strehlspresidentialelection2020 