Senate2020
2018: GOP: 53 DEM: 45 IND: 02
2020: GOP: 53 DEM: 45 IND: 02
Takeover GOP: AL MI
DEM: AZ + CO
AL:
My poll:
Tommy Tuberville 53.4% Doug Jones*39.0%
Average of public polls:
Tommy Tuberville 52.7% Doug Jones*42.3%
My prediction:
Tommy Tuberville 57.6% Doug Jones*42.4%
AK:
My poll:
Dan Sullivan*49.7% Al Gross 37.9% John Howe 08.2%
Average of public polls:
Dan Sullivan*42.0% Al Gross 35.5%
My prediction:
Dan Sullivan*52.5% Al Gross 41.3% John Howe 06.2%
AR:
My poll:
Tom Cotton*61.9% Dan Whitfield 10.6% Ricky Harrington 17.9%
Average of public polls:
Tom Cotton*62.3% Dan Whitfield 05.0% Ricky Harrington 28.7%
My prediction:
Tom Cotton*64.3% Dan Whitfield 05.0% Ricky Harrington 30.7%
AZ:
My poll:
Martha McSally* 48.1% Mark Kelly 47.3%
Average of public polls:
Martha McSally* 45.1% Mark Kelly 49.6%
My prediction:
Martha McSally* 48.5% Mark Kelly 51.0%
CO:
My poll:
Cory Gardner*43.3% John Hickenlooper 50.8% Other 06.3%
Average of public polls:
Cory Gardner*39.5% John Hickenlooper 48.0%
My prediction:
Cory Gardner*44.1% John Hickenlooper 51.9% Other 04.0%
DE:
My poll:
Lauren Witzke 39.4% Chris Coons* 54.1% Other 04.8%
Average of public polls:
Lauren Witzke 27.0% Chris Coons* 57.0%
My prediction:
Lauren Witzke 41.3% Chris Coons* 55.7% Other 03.0%
GA:
My poll:
David Perdue*50.1% John Ossoff 42.6% Other 03.8%
Average of public polls:
David Perdue*46.9% John Ossoff 47.7% Other 02.8%
My prediction:
David Perdue*52.0% John Ossoff 45.0% Other 03.0%
GA:
Kelly Loeffler, Republican 25.0%
Doug Collins, Republican 20.0%
Raphael Warnock, Democrat 23.5%
Matt Lieberman, Democrat 09.2%
Ed Tarver, Democrat 04.0%
ID:
My poll:
Jim Risch* 64.5% Paulette Jordan 21.5%
Average of public polls:
Jim Risch* 53.0% Paulette Jordan 28.0%
My prediction:
Jim Risch* 70.8% Paulette Jordan 29.2%
IL: Mark Curran 00.0% Richard Durbin* 00.0%
No polls available
My prediction:
Mark Curran 42.0% Richard Durbin* 57.0%
IA:
My poll:
Joni Ernst* 50.1% Theresa Greenfield 44.4% Other 02.8%
Average of public polls:
Joni Ernst*46.5% Theresa Greenfield 46.0%
My prediction:
Joni Ernst* 51.7% Theresa Greenfield 46.3% Other 02.0%
KS:
My poll:
Roger Marshall*50.7% Barbara Bollier 39.3%
Average of public polls:
Roger Marshall*46.0% Barbara Bollier 43.0%
My prediction:
Roger Marshall*56.2% Barbara Bollier 43.8%
KY:
My poll:
Mitch McConnell* 53.7% Amy McGrath 40.8% Brad Barron 02.8%
Average of public polls:
Mitch McConnell* 51.0% Amy McGrath 42.3% Brad Barron 02.8%
My prediction:
Mitch McConnell* 55.4% Amy McGrath 42.1% Brad Barron 02.5%
LA: Bill Cassidy*51.0% Generic DEM 41.0%
No polls available
MA:
My polls:
Kevin O`Connor 42.8% Ed Markey* 49.5%
Average of public polls:
Kevin O`Connor 40.0% Ed Markey* 57.5%
My prediction:
Kevin O`Connor 47.0% Ed Markey* 53.0%
ME:
My poll:
Susan Collins*46.4% Sarah Gideon 43.6% Max Linn 05.2%
Average of public polls:
Susan Collins*41.7% Sarah Gideon 47.3% Max Linn 05.2%
My prediction:
Susan Collins*48.8% Sarah Gideon 46.4% Max Linn 04.8%
MI:
My poll:
John James 48.4% Gary Peters* 47.7%
Average of public polls:
John James 43.3% Gary Peters* 48.4%
My prediction:
John James 51.8% Gary Peters* 48.0%
MN:
My poll:
Jason Lewis 45.7% Tina Smith* 44.6% Other 03.5%
Average of public polls:
Jason Lewis 42.3% Tina Smith* 47.3%
My prediction:
Jason Lewis 48.5% Tina Smith* 49.0% Other 02.5%
MS:
My polls:
Cindy Hyde-Smith* 55.5% Mike Espy 37.0% Jimmy Edwards 03.0%
Average of public polls:
Cindy Hyde-Smith* 53.0% Mike Espy 43.0% Jimmy Edwards 03.0%
My prediction:
Cindy Hyde-Smith* 57.5% Mike Espy 39.5% Jimmy Edwards 03.0%
MT:
My polls:
Steve Daines*53.0% Steve Bullock 44.3% Other 00.3%
Average of public polls:
Steve Daines*48.8% Steve Bullock 46.4%
My prediction:
Steve Daines*54.0% Steve Bullock 45.5% Other 00.5%
NC:
My polls:
Thom Tillis* 49.0% Cal Cunningham 43.7% Others 06.1%
Average of public polls:
Thom Tillis* 44.3% Cal Cunningham 46.8% Others 06.1%
My prediction:
Thom Tillis* 49.9% Cal Cunningham 44.6% Others 05.5%
NE:
My polls:
Ben Sasse* 56.0% Chris Janicek 22.5% Gene Siadek 06.0%
Average of public polls:
Ben Sasse* 47.0% Chris Janicek 18.0% Gene Siadek 06.0%
My prediction:
Ben Sasse* 65.6% Chris Janicek 30.4% Gene Siadek 04.0%
NH:
My polls:
Bryant Corky Messner 42.4% Jeanne Shaheen* 52.0% Other 02.6%
Average of public polls:
Bryant Corky Messner 39.2% Jeanne Shaheen* 54.0% Other 02.6%
My prediction:
Bryant Corky Messner 44.4% Jeanne Shaheen* 53.6% Other 02.0%
NJ:
My polls:
Rik Mehta 38.6% Cory Booker* 50.9%
Average of public polls:
Rik Mehta 30.3% Cory Booker* 56.0%
My prediction:
Rik Mehta 44.7% Cory Booker* 55.3%
NM:
My poll:
Mark Ronchetti 41.0% Ben Ray Lujan*46.3% Bob Walsh 04.9%
Average of public polls:
Mark Ronchetti 41.7% Ben Ray Lujan*50.0% Bob Walsh 04.9%
My prediction:
Mark Ronchetti 45.8% Ben Ray Lujan*50.2% Bob Walsh 04.0%
OK:
My poll:
Jim Inhofe* 55.0% Abby Broyles 34.9% Others 04.0%
Average of public polls:
Jim Inhofe* 56.5% Abby Broyles 35.0% Others 04.0%
My prediction:
Jim Inhofe* 59.2% Abby Broyles 38.3% Others 02.5%
OR:
My poll:
Jo Rae Perkins 40.6% Jeff Merkley* 54.9% Other 02.4%
Average of public polls:
Jo Rae Perkins 35.0% Jeff Merkley* 55.0% Other 05.0%
My prediction:
Jo Rae Perkins 41.8% Jeff Merkley* 55.2% Other 03.0%
RI:
My poll:
Allen Waters 42.3% Jack Reed*50.0%
Average of public polls:
Allen Waters 38.5% Jack Reed* 55.0%
My prediction:
Allen Waters 46.5% Jack Reed*53.5%
SC:
My poll:
Lindsay Graham*57.3% Jaime Harrison 38.0% Other 03.3%
Average of public polls:
Lindsay Graham*47.5% Jaime Harrison 43.0%
My prediction:
Lindsay Graham*58.2% Jaime Harrison 39.3% Other 02.5%
SD:
My poll:
Mike Rounds* 64.0% Daniel Ahlers29.0%
Average of public polls:
Mike Rounds* 60.0% Daniel Ahlers33.0%
My prediction:
Mike Rounds* 67.0% Daniel Ahlers33.0%
TN:
My poll: No polls available
Bill Hagerty*00.0% Marquita Bradshaw 00.0%
My prediction: Bill Hagerty*62.0% Marquita Bradshaw 35.0%
TX:
My poll:
John Cornyn*52.2% M. J. Hegar 39.3% Others 03.8%
Average of public polls:
John Cornyn*47.8% M. J. Hegar 41.0%
My prediction:
John Cornyn*54.2% M. J. Hegar 42.3% Others 03.5%
VA:
My poll:
Daniel Gade 43.4% Mark Warner*53.4%
Average of public polls:
Daniel Gade 38.3% Mark Warner*56.0%
My prediction:
Daniel Gade 45.2% Mark Warner*54.8%
WV:
My poll:
Shelley Moore Capito* 72.0% Paula Jean Swearengin23.0%
Average of public polls:
Shelley Moore Capito* 60.0% Paula Jean Swearengin33.0%
My prediction:
Shelley Moore Capito* 74.2% Paula Jean Swearengin25.8%
WY:
My poll:
Cynthia Lummis* 67.0% Meran Ben-David 27.5%
Average of public polls:
Cynthia Lummis* 56.0% Meran Ben-David 26.0%
My prediction:
Cynthia Lummis* 69.5% Meran Ben-David 30.5%
strehlspresidentialelection2020 