New Hampshire Democratic Primary:
New Hampshire has mountains. Iowa has plains. They couldn’t be more different except for the results of the last two Quinnipiac University polls, which both show 4 candidates in the top tier. Although Biden has a slight lead in the Granite State, it’s far from rock solid, and both states are clearly still up for grabs,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
In a separate question, only 2 percent of likely Democratic primary voters say they would definitely vote for former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg if he got into the race, while 37 percent say they would consider voting for him, and 54 percent say they definitely would not vote for him.
“If he truly is in, there is a lot of work to do. But with vast resources to draw from, Michael Bloomberg’s nascent campaign could morph from ‘under construction’ to ‘full steam ahead’ in a New York minute,” added Malloy.
There is a lot of potential for movement in the Democratic primary as 61 percent of those who express a preference say they might change their mind before the primary, while 38 percent say their mind is made up. Sanders voters are the most certain in their choice as 57 percent of Sanders voters say their mind is made up, compared to 43 percent of Biden voters, 29 percent of Warren voters, and 24 percent of Buttigieg voters.
Most likely voters are either “extremely excited” (22 percent) or “very excited” (34 percent) about the candidate they are supporting, while 33 percent are “mildly excited” and 10 percent say they are “not that excited.” Sanders voters are the most excited, as 44 percent of his voters say they are extremely excited to support his candidacy, compared to 21 percent of Warren voters, 19 percent of Biden voters, and 12 percent of Buttigieg voters.
Nearly one-third (32 percent) of New Hampshire likely Democratic primary voters say the most important candidate quality in deciding who to vote for is “someone who can win the general election,” followed by “honesty” at 24 percent, “someone who cares about people like you” at 18 percent, “good leadership skills” at 14 percent, and only 7 percent saying “experience in public office.”
Joe Biden 20%
Elizabeth Warren 16%
Pete Buttigieg 15%
Bernie Sanders 14%
Tulsi Gabbard 06%
Andrew Yang 04%
Amy Klobuchar 03%
Tom Steyer 03%
Kamala Harris 01%
Cory Booker 01%
Julian Castro 01%
Michael Bennet 01%