CA: Joe Biden; Kamala Harris; Elizabeth Warren & Bernie Sanders in a tight race by YouGov

Based on a multilevel regression and poststratification model incorporating voter responses to this survey. Early states are those expected to hold contests up to and including Super Tuesday: AL, AR, CA, CO, IA, ME, MA, MN, NV, NH, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA. This list of states has changed since last wave due to states changing their primary schedules, no longer including Georgia, and now including Maine.

California Democratic Primary:
Joe Biden 24%
Kamala Harris 22%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Bernie Sanders 16%
Pete Buttigieg 06%
Tom Steyer 01%
Julian Castro 01%
Robert F. O’Rourke 01%
Andrew Yang 1%
Marianne Williamson 01%
Mike Gravel 01%
Cory Booker 01%
Amy Klobuchar 01%
Tulsi Gabbard 01%
Michael Bennet 01%



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