My analysis of the senatorial races 2016

Senate 2016
2014: GOP: 54 DEM: 44 IND: 02
2016: GOP: 51 DEM: 47 IND: 02

Takeover GOP:
DEM: IL NH

genusmap-php-2

AL:
Polls: Richard Shelby* 00.0% Ron Crumpton 00.0% Other 00.0%
Prediction: Richard Shelby will win his senate seat with 65%+
Results: Richard Shelby* 64.2% Ron Crumpton 35.8%

AK:
Polls:
Lisa Murkowski* 52.5% Ray Metcalfe 10.5% Joe Miller 10.5% Margaret Stock 06.5% Breck A. Craig 01.0%
Prediction: No doubt Lisa Murkowsi will win her senate seat with 55%+
Results: Lisa Murkowski* 44.3% Ray Metcalfe 11.1% Joe Miller 29.1% Margaret Stock 14.4% Breck A. Craig 01.0%

AR:Polls: John Boozman* 55.9% Connor Eldridge 34.8% Frank Gilbert 06.1%
Prediction: John Boozman will win his senate with 58% of the vote
Results: John Boozman* 59.8% Connor Eldridge 36.2%

AZ: Polls: John McCain* 52.6% Ann Kirkpatrick 40.3% Gary Swing 05.0%
Prediction: John McCain will win his senate seat with around 55% of the vote
Results: John McCain* 53.4% Ann Kirkpatrick 41.1%

CA:Polls: Kamala Harris 44.8% Loretta Sanchez* 26.1%
Prediction: Kamala Harris will win the senate seat of Boxer with over 60% of the vote
Results: Kamala Harris 62.6% Loretta Sanchez* 37.4%

CO:Polls: Darryl Glenn 39.3% Michael Bennett* 48.8% Lily Tang Williams 03.0% Arn Menconi 02.5%
Prediction: Michael Bennett will win his senate seat with over 50% of the vote Results: Darryl Glenn 45.3% Michael Bennett* 49.2%
CT: Polls: Dan Carter 31.7% Richard Blumenthal* 56.9% Other 03.6%
Prediction: Richard Blumenthal will win his senate seat with over 55%
Results: Dan Carter 34.9% Richard Blumenthal* 62.9%

FL: Marco Rubio* 49.8% Patrick Murphy 44.5% Paul Stanton 05.0%
Prediction: Marco Rubio will win his senate seat with 53% of the vote!
Results: Marco Rubio* 52.0% Patrick Murphy 44.3%

GA: Johnny Isakson* 49.6% Jim Barksdale 38.6% Allen Buckley 06.8%
Prediction: Johnny Isakson will win his Senate seat with 55% of the vote
Results: Johnny Isakson* 55.0% Jim Barksdale 40.8%

HI: John Carroll 00.0% Brian Schatz* 00.0% Michael Kokoski 00.0% Joy Allison 00.0%
Prediction: Senator Brian Schatz will win his Senate seat with over 60% of the vote
Results: John Carroll 73.6% Brian Schatz* 22.2%

ID: Mike Crapo* 57.0% Jerry Sturgill 24.0%
Prediction: Senator Mike Crapo will win his senate seat with over 60% of the vote
Results: Mike Crapo* 66.1% Jerry Sturgill 27.8%

IL: Mark Kirk* 35.6% Tammy Duckworth 46.3% Kent McMillen 05.5%
Prediction: Tammy Duckworth will win the Senate seat with over 50% of the vote
Results: Mark Kirk* 40.2% Tammy Duckworth 54.4%

IN: Todd Young* 40.5% Evan Bayh 40.8% Lucy Brenton 06.3%
Prediction: This race will be very close but Todd Young will be the new Senator
Results: Todd Young* 52.1% Evan Bayh 42.4%

IA: Chuck Grassley* 57.5% Patty Judge 35.8% Chuck Aldrich 02.9%
Prediction: Senator Chuck Grassley will re-elected with over 60% of the vote
Results: Chuck Grassley* 60.2% Patty Judge 35.7%

KS: Jerry Moran* 65.7% Patrick Wiesner 22.2% Robert D. Garrard 07.8%
Prediction: Senator Jerry Moran will get re-elected with 68% of the vote
Results: Jerry Moran* 62.4% Patrick Wiesner 32.1%

KY: Rand Paul* 55.0% Jim Gray 39.0%
Prediction: Senator Rand Paul will win his senate seat with 60% of the vote
Results: Rand Paul* 57.3% Jim Gray 42.7%
LA: David Vetter* 00.0% Generic DEM 00.0% Other 00.0%
Prediction: There will be a run-off for the senate seat

US SENATE – LOUISIANA – PRIMARY
John Kennedy (R) 19.3%
Foster Campbell (D) 16.2%
Charles Boustany(R) 14.2%
Caroline Fayard (D) 11.2%
Tyler Fleming (R) 10.5%
Dave Duke (R) 02.9%
Maness (R) 02.4%
Joshua Pellerin (D) 01.7%
Results: John Kennedy (R) 25.0% Foster Campbell (D) 17.5% Charles Boustany(R) 15.4% CarolineFayard (D) 12.5%

MD: Kathy Szeliga 27.0% Chris Van Hollen * 56.2% Arvin Vohra 00.0% Margaret Flowers 03.5%
Prediction: Chris van Hollen will win the senate seat with 60% of the vote
Results: Kathy Szeliga 36.4% Chris Van Hollen * 60.4%

MO: Roy Blunt* 45.9% Jason Kander 45.0% Jonathan Dine 02.6% Fred Ryman 02.5%
Prediction: Senator Roy Blunt will win his senate seat with 48% of the vote
Results: Roy Blunt* 49.4% Jason Kander 46.2%

NC: Richard Burr* 47.8% Deborah Ross 42.8% Sean Haugh 03.1%
Prediction: Senator Richard Burr will win his senate seat with 50% of the vote
Results: Richard Burr* 51.1% Deborah Ross 45.3%
ND: John Hoeven* 00.0% Eliot Glassheim 00.0% Robert Marquette 00.0%
Prediction: Senator John Hoeven will win his senate with 68% of the vote
Results: John Hoeven* 78.6% Eliot Glassheim 17.0%

NH: Kelly Ayotte* 46.3% Maggie Hassan 44.6% Brian Chabot 04.9%
Prediction: Senator Kelly Ayotte will win her senate seat with 50% of the vote
Results: Kelly Ayotte* 47.9% Maggie Hassan 48.0%
NV: Joe Heck 47.0% Catherine Cortez Masto* 46.2% Tom Jones 03.5%
Prediction: Joe Heck will be the new NV Senator with a narrowly win with under 50%
Results: Joe Heck 44.7% Catherine Cortez Masto* 47.1%
NY: Wendy Long 25.5% Chuck Schumer* 66.3% Alex Merced 02.5%
Prediction: Senator Chuck Schumer will win his Senate seat with over 65% of the vote
Results: Wendy Long 27.4% Chuck Schumer* 70.4%

OH: Rob Portman* 49.5% Ted Strickland 35.0% Other 04.8%
Prediction: Senator Rob Portman will win his senate seat with 55% of the vote
Results: Rob Portman* 58.3% Ted Strickland 36.9%

OK: James Lankford* 00.0% Mike Workman 00.0% Robert T. Murphy 00.0%
Prediction: James Lankford will win his senate seat with over 65% of the vote
Results: James Lankford* 67.7% Mike Workman 24.6%

OR: Mark Callahan 32.0% Ron Wyden* 53.0% Steven Reynolds 06.0%
Prediction: Senator Ron Wyden will win his senate seat with 55% of the vote
Results: Mark Callahan 33.6% Ron Wyden* 56.7%

PA: Pat Toomey* 43.2% Katie McGinty 45.3% Edward Clifford 05.6%
Prediction: Katie McGinty will win the senate seat both under 50% and less than 02% difference
Results: Pat Toomey* 48.9% Katie McGinty 47.2%

SC: Tim Scott* 51.5% Thomas Dixon 25.0% Bill Bledsoe 04.0% Thomas Dixon 02.0% Michael Scarborough 02.0%
Prediction: Senator Tim Scott will win his Senate seat with 60% of the vote
Results: Tim Scott* 60.5% Thomas Dixon 37.0%

SD: John Thune* 55.5% Jay Williams 35.5% Other 00.0%
Prediction: Senator John Thune will win his senate seat with 58% of the vote
Results: John Thune* 71.8% Jay Williams 28.2%

UT: Mike Lee* 59.8% Misty K. Snow 28.0% Other 04.7%
Prediction: Senator Mike Lee will win his senate seat with 65% of the vote
Results: Mike Lee* 68.0% Misty K. Snow 27.4%

VT: Scott Milne 28.6% Patrick Leahy* 59.3% Other 03.9%
Prediction: Patrick Leahy will win his senate seat with over 60% of the vote
Results: Scott Milne 33.0% Patrick Leahy* 61.3%
WA: Chris Vance 39.5% Patty Murray* 53.1% Mike Luke 03.0%
Prediction: Patty Murray will win her senate seat with with under 55% of the vote
Results: Chris Vance 40.9% Patty Murray* 59.1%
WI: Ron Johnson* 44.0% Russ Feingold 47.1% Phil Anderson 03.2%
Prediction: Russ Feingold will barely regain his hold senate seat and this is the only race that could go either way
Results: Ron Johnson* 50.2% Russ Feingold 46.8%

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