NH: Hillary Clinton has a modest lead by UMass/Amherst

New Hampshire presidential race:
The matched cases were weighted to New Hampshire registered voters in the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, ideology, and party registration. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles.

President:
Without Leaners
Clinton – 41%
Trump – 37%
Johnson – 6 %
Stein – 3%
With Leaners
Clinton – 43%
Trump – 38%
Johnson – 8%
Stein – 3 %

NH2

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/UMass_Amherst_October_27th_2916.pdf

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